The Rise and Demise of the Capitalist World System by Hartmut Elsenhans

By Hartmut Elsenhans

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In 1976, the United States is still paying very low interest on its debt. One of the things that cause governments to go insolvent is a spike in bond yields. For example, if interest rates double or triple, it causes interest payments to soar and this development squeezes out spending on other things such as military or social programs. The United States has benefited from being the reserve currency of the world. S. Treasuries. At some point, these interest payments are going to rise. S. 2 and $384 billion on interest payments.

Alan Greenspan even made numerous speeches on the great new world created by all of these fresh financial innovations. As the leverage increased, the trade was to borrow in dollars, short the dollar, and go long risky assets. S. stocks, and so on. However, we previously noted that all of this ended with a huge margin call that was caused by the Lehman collapse. S. dollar short trade. S. dollars. S. dollars, then pay your investors back. S. dollar rally was not really due to a flight to safety. Rather, it was all part of the massive deleveraging trade we saw in 2008 and Euro Fear Trade in 2010.

There is only one time in the 200-plus-year history of the United States that the nation has experienced a debt bubble. This was in the mid-1940s, as debt ballooned to help fight the war effort. 1 shows that debt grew slowly in the early part of the twentieth century. indd 13 9/24/10 9:55:29 AM 14 THE G R E AT SUPER CYCLE to grow and was in the low 30 percent range at the 1929 stock market top. It then increased at a more rapid rate in the thirties as increased government spending and decreases in revenues began to take their toll on the public finances.

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